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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208230100150250300230250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points37
54Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +19
28Coral scored#29
102Coral points105
4Processor algae#6
6Net algae#7
24Processor points36
24Net points28
48Algae points64
150Total teleop169
Reef
12L4#15
12L3#8
8L2#9
6L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points2
230Total score250

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#25
77.90.4
76.877.3
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
blue by 3.1
88
#8
81.00.6
81.281.7
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
Second
66.80.4
65.766.1
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
blue by 9.8
76.60.6
76.877.3
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
Third
839
#38
59.50.4
58.458.9
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3
red by 2.6
5142
#18
56.90.6
57.057.6
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4