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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209233150250300233206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
0Leave9
10Coral scored#1
51Coral points3
51Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +12
29Coral scored#27
104Coral points96
3Processor algae#7
6Net algae#5
18Processor points42
24Net points20
42Algae points62
146Total teleop158
Reef
14L4#13
11L3#8
5L2#3
9L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
233Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#25
77.90.5
77.377.8
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
blue by 3.1
88
#8
81.00.4
81.781.4
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
Second
66.80.5
66.166.7
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
blue by 9.8
76.60.4
77.377.0
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
Third
839
#38
59.50.5
58.959.4
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3
red by 2.6
5142
#18
56.90.4
57.657.2
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4