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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16911850100150200250176123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+55Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points20
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +34
23Coral scored#14
84Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
118Total teleop84
Reef
11L4#6
8L3#6
6L2#3
7L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
176Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.41.2
69.370.5
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
red by 19.4
467
#30
58.90.1
49.749.8
Auto15.0
Teleop33.4
End10.5
Second
172
#19
50.41.2
40.942.1
Auto13.3
Teleop29.6
End7.6
red by 5.8
173
#29
44.60.1
41.842.0
Auto9.3
Teleop33.6
End1.7
Third
1757
#15
42.51.2
42.043.2
Auto8.2
Teleop26.7
End7.5
red by 3.2
4572
#40
39.30.1
24.424.6
Auto11.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned