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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151149120130140160170180190177163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +4
19Coral scored#20
69Coral points71
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
24Processor points18
20Net points28
44Algae points46
113Total teleop117
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#7
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
8Foul points0
177Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.91.7
70.372.0
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
red by 15.4
839
#38
59.51.3
56.157.5
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3
Second
8410
#16
45.91.7
35.236.9
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End9.5
blue by 7.1
6201
#43
53.01.3
45.046.4
Auto10.6
Teleop35.8
End6.6
Third
8085
#21
43.71.7
37.339.1
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End6.7
blue by 0.9
173
#29
44.61.3
42.043.3
Auto9.3
Teleop33.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned