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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172138100150200250199164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points28
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +33
28Coral scored#23
100Coral points81
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
18Processor points12
28Net points20
46Algae points32
146Total teleop113
Reef
11L4#12
9L3#8
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
6Foul points0
199Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.41.5
70.571.9
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
red by 21.4
5142
#18
56.91.2
55.156.3
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4
Second
58
#14
63.91.5
55.256.6
Auto11.6
Teleop43.2
End9.1
red by 16.2
177
#36
47.81.2
33.134.3
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End9.0
Third
238
#45
31.11.5
28.229.6
Auto3.6
Teleop26.1
End1.4
blue by 12.8
3464
#42
44.01.2
41.542.7
Auto7.5
Teleop34.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned