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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187142100200250225205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
7Coral scored#8
33Coral points40
36Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +14
33Coral scored#31
117Coral points111
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
24Processor points24
24Net points16
48Algae points40
165Total teleop151
Reef
20L4#14
9L3#14
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#47
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
225Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.62.9
67.170.1
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
blue by 3.7
195
#6
80.33.8
69.273.0
Auto20.1
Teleop50.3
End9.9
Second
66.82.9
54.056.9
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
red by 27.5
4572
#40
39.33.8
24.628.3
Auto11.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
Third
4311
#22
40.02.9
33.736.6
Auto7.3
Teleop24.2
End8.5
red by 6.0
6731
#48
34.03.8
30.334.1
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned