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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183165140200220240196193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
8Coral scored#10
38Coral points51
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +10
19Coral scored#18
68Coral points66
5Processor algae#3
7Net algae#8
30Processor points18
28Net points32
58Algae points50
126Total teleop116
Reef
9L4#8
8L3#8
6L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
196Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#25
77.91.4
78.179.5
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
blue by 3.1
88
#8
81.02.5
67.570.0
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
Second
176
#7
71.31.4
65.466.8
Auto20.8
Teleop45.3
End5.3
red by 12.4
467
#30
58.92.5
49.852.3
Auto15.0
Teleop33.4
End10.5
Third
9443
#10
39.81.4
31.132.5
Auto5.1
Teleop25.8
End8.9
blue by 4.3
3146
#20
44.12.5
38.340.8
Auto8.6
Teleop27.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned