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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491115010020011187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+22Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +25
18Coral scored#9
65Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
79Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
111Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#13
61.21.2
56.955.6
Auto18.5
Teleop33.8
End9.0
red by 18.7
1757
#15
42.51.0
43.242.1
Auto8.2
Teleop26.7
End7.5
Second
8889
#39
37.51.2
34.733.4
Auto9.0
Teleop26.2
End2.4
red by 3.4
34.11.0
31.230.2
Auto8.0
Teleop18.5
End7.6
Third
5112
#37
31.91.2
29.928.7
Auto4.6
Teleop25.8
End1.5
red by 15.2
5962
#47
16.81.0
19.218.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned