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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189160100150200250300235228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+19Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
6Coral scored#9
31Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +26
37Coral scored#32
132Coral points114
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
174Total teleop148
Reef
21L4#19
6L3#10
12L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
52Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
235Total score228

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#8
81.02.4
70.072.4
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
red by 2.7
78.43.6
71.975.6
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
Second
195
#6
80.32.4
73.075.4
Auto20.1
Teleop50.3
End9.9
red by 27.3
6201
#43
53.03.6
46.450.0
Auto10.6
Teleop35.8
End6.6
Third
238
#45
31.12.4
29.632.0
Auto3.6
Teleop26.1
End1.4
blue by 12.1
228
#28
43.33.6
31.234.8
Auto8.8
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned52%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned