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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179153100200250178215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+35
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave3
10Coral scored#5
52Coral points24
58Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +68
18Coral scored#29
66Coral points104
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#10
12Processor points18
16Net points40
28Algae points58
94Total teleop162
Reef
9L4#11
7L3#9
8L2#8
4L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#47
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points2
178Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#25
77.90.0
79.579.5
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
red by 1.3
76.63.7
70.173.8
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
Second
172
#19
50.40.0
42.042.1
Auto13.3
Teleop29.6
End7.6
red by 6.5
3464
#42
44.03.7
42.746.4
Auto7.5
Teleop34.8
End1.6
Third
3146
#20
44.10.0
40.840.8
Auto8.6
Teleop27.1
End8.4
red by 4.8
4572
#40
39.33.7
28.332.1
Auto11.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsEarned54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned