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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197174140160220240260180134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+24Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
7Coral scored#6
33Coral points28
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +28
20Coral scored#21
73Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
9Net algae#3
12Processor points6
36Net points12
48Algae points18
121Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#13
10L3#6
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
180Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.90.6
72.072.6
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
red by 7.4
67.51.5
72.270.6
Auto22.0
Teleop38.1
End7.4
Second
8046
#12
56.50.6
51.852.3
Auto11.5
Teleop36.7
End8.2
red by 13.8
2713
#23
42.71.5
40.238.7
Auto8.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
Third
4311
#22
40.00.6
36.637.2
Auto7.3
Teleop24.2
End8.5
red by 2.5
8889
#39
37.51.5
33.431.9
Auto9.0
Teleop26.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsMissed