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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212650100200250164171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
21Coral scored#23
76Coral points82
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
104Total teleop124
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#7
8L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
16Cage & park18
16Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
164Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#13
61.20.5
55.656.2
Auto18.5
Teleop33.8
End9.0
blue by 0.9
62.12.0
53.956.0
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End8.4
Second
131
#26
51.00.5
50.350.8
Auto11.5
Teleop35.7
End3.8
red by 18.2
175
#34
32.82.0
33.335.4
Auto7.2
Teleop22.2
End3.3
Third
6731
#48
34.00.5
34.134.6
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End0.6
red by 1.4
8023
#33
32.62.0
29.431.4
Auto3.7
Teleop24.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned