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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191375010015020013589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points21
22Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +46
21Coral scored#10
77Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
99Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#2
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points2
135Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.9
56.957.9
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
red by 11.0
5000
#24
55.83.0
52.249.2
Auto18.3
Teleop36.2
End1.2
Second
7869
#35
45.31.0
45.746.6
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.9
blue by 0.6
8410
#16
45.93.0
36.934.0
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End9.5
Third
5962
#47
16.80.9
18.219.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.7
blue by 24.2
5459
#31
40.93.0
42.239.3
Auto9.0
Teleop31.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed