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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15216005001,0001,5002,0002,500179190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points34
37Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +2
24Coral scored#21
86Coral points74
3Processor algae#6
6Net algae#5
18Processor points36
24Net points20
42Algae points56
128Total teleop130
Reef
13L4#7
11L3#9
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
179Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#14
63.91.8
56.858.6
Auto11.6
Teleop43.2
End9.1
blue by 11.0
74.92.1
72.674.7
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
Second
8046
#12
56.51.8
52.354.1
Auto11.5
Teleop36.7
End8.2
red by 6.1
172
#19
50.42.1
42.144.2
Auto13.3
Teleop29.6
End7.6
Third
4572
#40
39.31.8
32.133.8
Auto11.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
blue by 0.5
9443
#10
39.82.1
32.734.8
Auto5.1
Teleop25.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned