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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8124305010015020030035082211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+46
Teleop+109
Endgame+121
Fouls+129
AutonomousBlue +46
9Leave0
1Coral scored#12
3Coral points58
12Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +63
14Coral scored#26
52Coral points93
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#3
6Processor points24
8Net points12
14Algae points36
66Total teleop129
Reef
6L4#14
4L3#8
3L2#10
2L1 · trough#6
18Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +129
0Foul points8
82Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5112
#37
31.90.8
28.427.6
Auto4.6
Teleop25.8
End1.5
blue by 48.4
195
#6
80.31.0
75.474.4
Auto20.1
Teleop50.3
End9.9
Second
238
#45
31.10.8
32.031.2
Auto3.6
Teleop26.1
End1.4
blue by 46.8
7407
#25
77.91.0
79.578.6
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
Third
5735
#41
29.20.8
25.524.7
Auto6.5
Teleop20.9
End1.8
blue by 27.7
5142
#18
56.91.0
53.852.8
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned