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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14815680100120140180200220240144162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
6Coral scored#12
28Coral points58
37Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +5
18Coral scored#21
65Coral points76
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
103Total teleop98
Reef
8L4#11
6L3#8
5L2#10
5L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points2
144Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#13
61.20.4
56.256.6
Auto18.5
Teleop33.8
End9.0
blue by 10.1
176
#7
71.30.8
67.368.1
Auto20.8
Teleop45.3
End5.3
Second
236
#32
52.60.4
44.044.4
Auto9.0
Teleop36.3
End7.3
red by 4.8
177
#36
47.80.8
36.737.5
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End9.0
Third
8724
#27
39.50.4
37.538.0
Auto6.0
Teleop30.6
End2.9
blue by 5.1
173
#29
44.60.8
43.544.3
Auto9.3
Teleop33.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsMissed