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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186149100200250300167128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave9
8Coral scored#4
39Coral points21
39Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +20
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points60
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
18Processor points12
28Net points12
46Algae points24
104Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#5
11L3#7
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
167Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.40.3
75.675.3
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
blue by 2.7
88
#8
81.01.2
72.471.2
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
Second
76.60.3
73.873.5
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
red by 43.5
151
#46
33.11.2
36.034.8
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End-0.8
Third
5962
#47
16.80.3
19.118.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.7
blue by 16.1
175
#34
32.81.2
35.434.2
Auto7.2
Teleop22.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned