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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135128801001201601802009794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points18
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +14
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points38
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
12Processor points18
28Net points16
40Algae points34
86Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
97Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7869
#35
45.31.9
46.644.7
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.9
red by 1.6
8085
#21
43.71.3
39.538.2
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End6.7
Second
3464
#42
44.01.9
46.444.5
Auto7.5
Teleop34.8
End1.6
red by 3.0
5459
#31
40.91.3
39.338.0
Auto9.0
Teleop31.2
End0.7
Third
8889
#39
37.51.9
31.930.1
Auto9.0
Teleop26.2
End2.4
red by 3.5
6731
#48
34.01.3
34.633.3
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed