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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12618250100150200250300122200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+78
Endgame+78
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +32
3Leave3
3Coral scored#10
16Coral points48
19Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +46
14Coral scored#29
49Coral points103
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
89Total teleop135
Reef
8L4#14
5L3#10
3L2#6
1L1 · trough#9
26Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points0
122Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6201
#43
53.00.2
50.049.7
Auto10.6
Teleop35.8
End6.6
blue by 13.8
66.81.9
57.959.8
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
Second
8410
#16
45.90.2
34.033.7
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End9.5
blue by 16.2
62.11.9
56.057.9
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End8.4
Third
34.10.2
32.632.4
Auto8.0
Teleop18.5
End7.6
blue by 21.7
5000
#24
55.81.9
49.251.1
Auto18.3
Teleop36.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned