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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161154120140180200151110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+49Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points14
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +39
20Coral scored#14
73Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
105Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#5
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
151Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#30
58.91.1
52.653.7
Auto15.0
Teleop33.4
End10.5
blue by 0.6
839
#38
59.51.4
55.053.6
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3
Second
131
#26
51.01.1
50.851.9
Auto11.5
Teleop35.7
End3.8
red by 8.3
2713
#23
42.71.4
38.737.3
Auto8.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
Third
8023
#33
32.61.1
31.432.5
Auto3.7
Teleop24.9
End4.0
blue by 7.4
4311
#22
40.01.4
37.235.8
Auto7.3
Teleop24.2
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned