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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19910950150250300213132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+65Teleop
+85Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave3
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points10
44Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +34
27Coral scored#20
97Coral points73
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#4
12Processor points18
32Net points16
44Algae points34
141Total teleop107
Reef
14L4#8
7L3#6
6L2#5
8L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#29
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
2Foul points6
213Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#6
80.31.4
74.475.8
Auto20.1
Teleop50.3
End9.9
red by 35.7
173
#29
44.60.0
44.344.3
Auto9.3
Teleop33.6
End1.7
Second
78
#13
61.21.4
56.658.0
Auto18.5
Teleop33.8
End9.0
red by 21.7
8724
#27
39.50.0
38.038.0
Auto6.0
Teleop30.6
End2.9
Third
3146
#20
44.11.4
41.242.6
Auto8.6
Teleop27.1
End8.4
red by 12.1
5112
#37
31.90.0
27.627.6
Auto4.6
Teleop25.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
90%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned