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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76220050100150200250300350100168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+68
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +42
0Leave0
5Coral scored#13
23Coral points65
23Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +26
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points51
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
63Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#10
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
100Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#19
50.40.8
44.245.0
Auto13.3
Teleop29.6
End7.6
blue by 27.9
78.42.0
75.373.3
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
Second
5735
#41
29.20.8
24.725.5
Auto6.5
Teleop20.9
End1.8
blue by 42.2
176
#7
71.32.0
68.166.1
Auto20.8
Teleop45.3
End5.3
Third
5962
#47
16.80.8
18.819.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.7
blue by 39.8
8046
#12
56.52.0
54.152.1
Auto11.5
Teleop36.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned