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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21411250150200250300201156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
33Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +30
29Coral scored#23
106Coral points84
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
140Total teleop110
Reef
12L4#11
7L3#7
10L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
2Foul points0
201Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.60.7
73.574.2
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
red by 24.1
236
#32
52.62.7
44.447.1
Auto9.0
Teleop36.3
End7.3
Second
1699
#11
62.90.7
59.059.7
Auto7.8
Teleop48.9
End6.2
red by 19.1
8085
#21
43.72.7
38.241.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End6.7
Third
5142
#18
56.90.7
52.853.6
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4
red by 19.4
8889
#39
37.52.7
30.132.8
Auto9.0
Teleop26.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned