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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185183140160200220167138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
+23Endgame
+29Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +7
18Coral scored#18
63Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
81Total teleop88
Reef
14L4#8
4L3#8
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#31
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points0
167Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.90.9
74.773.8
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
blue by 3.0
7407
#25
77.92.3
78.676.3
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
Second
62.10.9
57.957.1
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End8.4
blue by 4.7
66.82.3
59.857.5
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
Third
1757
#15
42.50.9
41.440.5
Auto8.2
Teleop26.7
End7.5
red by 9.7
175
#34
32.82.3
34.231.9
Auto7.2
Teleop22.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsMissed