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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16415950100200250300350193169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points26
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +22
26Coral scored#24
95Coral points87
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
24Processor points18
20Net points12
44Algae points30
139Total teleop117
Reef
11L4#12
6L3#7
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
193Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#8
81.02.4
71.273.5
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
red by 17.1
58
#14
63.90.7
58.659.3
Auto11.6
Teleop43.2
End9.1
Second
228
#28
43.32.4
35.237.6
Auto8.8
Teleop28.0
End6.5
blue by 7.8
131
#26
51.00.7
51.952.6
Auto11.5
Teleop35.7
End3.8
Third
5459
#31
40.92.4
38.040.4
Auto9.0
Teleop31.2
End0.7
red by 6.8
34.10.7
32.433.1
Auto8.0
Teleop18.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned