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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131099010012013014014289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+43Teleop
+55Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
79Total teleop57
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points2
142Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#36
47.82.5
37.540.0
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End9.0
red by 5.0
2713
#23
42.71.2
37.336.1
Auto8.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
Second
8410
#16
45.92.5
33.736.2
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End9.5
red by 12.8
151
#46
33.11.2
34.833.6
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End-0.8
Third
4572
#40
39.32.5
33.836.3
Auto11.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
red by 6.7
8023
#33
32.61.2
32.531.3
Auto3.7
Teleop24.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned