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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177150050100200250300350400182166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points35
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +13
23Coral scored#16
83Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
107Total teleop94
Reef
8L4#10
10L3#4
8L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
8Foul points2
182Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.50.8
69.470.2
Auto22.0
Teleop38.1
End7.4
blue by 1.5
138
#17
69.01.5
54.956.4
Auto17.1
Teleop41.9
End10.0
Second
839
#38
59.50.8
53.654.4
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3
red by 6.5
6201
#43
53.01.5
49.751.2
Auto10.6
Teleop35.8
End6.6
Third
6731
#48
34.00.8
33.334.2
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End0.6
red by 2.9
238
#45
31.11.5
31.232.7
Auto3.6
Teleop26.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned