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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152152120130140160170180190183172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +5
25Coral scored#26
90Coral points95
5Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
30Processor points24
20Net points16
50Algae points40
140Total teleop135
Reef
10L4#11
9L3#9
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#39
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
14Foul points0
183Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#30
58.90.8
53.754.5
Auto15.0
Teleop33.4
End10.5
red by 3.2
5000
#24
55.80.9
51.152.1
Auto18.3
Teleop36.2
End1.2
Second
3464
#42
44.00.8
44.545.3
Auto7.5
Teleop34.8
End1.6
blue by 1.4
7869
#35
45.30.9
44.745.7
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.9
Third
9443
#10
39.80.8
34.835.6
Auto5.1
Teleop25.8
End8.9
blue by 0.2
4311
#22
40.00.9
35.836.7
Auto7.3
Teleop24.2
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed