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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187185170180190200210210175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+49Teleop
+39Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +28
25Coral scored#19
89Coral points67
5Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
30Processor points24
24Net points24
54Algae points48
143Total teleop115
Reef
14L4#10
11L3#8
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
44Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points4
210Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.92.0
73.875.8
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
blue by 3.4
78.40.6
73.372.7
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
Second
78
#13
61.22.0
58.059.9
Auto18.5
Teleop33.8
End9.0
red by 10.2
131
#26
51.00.6
52.652.0
Auto11.5
Teleop35.7
End3.8
Third
228
#28
43.32.0
37.639.5
Auto8.8
Teleop28.0
End6.5
blue by 0.8
3146
#20
44.10.6
42.642.0
Auto8.6
Teleop27.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
76%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned