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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159127100150200184196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
0Endgame0
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
25Coral scored#25
90Coral points89
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
18Processor points18
24Net points24
42Algae points42
132Total teleop131
Reef
8L4#10
9L3#8
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#37
BargeRed +6
36Cage & park30
36Total endgame30
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points12
184Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8046
#12
56.51.9
52.154.0
Auto11.5
Teleop36.7
End8.2
blue by 0.4
5142
#18
56.93.4
53.657.0
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4
Second
236
#32
52.61.9
47.149.1
Auto9.0
Teleop36.3
End7.3
red by 6.7
8410
#16
45.93.4
36.239.6
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End9.5
Third
172
#19
50.41.9
45.046.9
Auto13.3
Teleop29.6
End7.6
red by 17.9
8023
#33
32.63.4
31.334.8
Auto3.7
Teleop24.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned