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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147138050100200250300350124134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+24
Endgame+36
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
12Coral scored#19
44Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
68Total teleop88
Reef
6L4#10
5L3#6
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
26Foul points0
124Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#7
71.32.4
66.163.7
Auto20.8
Teleop45.3
End5.3
red by 4.5
66.80.5
57.558.1
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
Second
6731
#48
34.02.4
34.231.8
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End0.6
blue by 5.8
9443
#10
39.80.5
35.636.2
Auto5.1
Teleop25.8
End8.9
Third
151
#46
33.12.4
33.631.2
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End-0.8
red by 2.0
238
#45
31.10.5
32.733.2
Auto3.6
Teleop26.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned