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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158160130140150170180190200197191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
7Coral scored#5
36Coral points23
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +7
24Coral scored#27
85Coral points98
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#5
18Processor points24
32Net points20
50Algae points44
135Total teleop142
Reef
13L4#8
8L3#12
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
197Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#17
69.02.6
56.459.0
Auto17.1
Teleop41.9
End10.0
red by 16.0
6201
#43
53.02.6
51.253.8
Auto10.6
Teleop35.8
End6.6
Second
173
#29
44.62.6
44.346.9
Auto9.3
Teleop33.6
End1.7
blue by 3.1
177
#36
47.82.6
40.042.6
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End9.0
Third
4311
#22
40.02.6
36.739.3
Auto7.3
Teleop24.2
End8.5
blue by 5.3
7869
#35
45.32.6
45.748.3
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned