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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18613950100200250300190158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave9
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points24
28Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +29
27Coral scored#21
98Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
138Total teleop109
Reef
14L4#9
5L3#6
8L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points2
190Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.60.3
74.274.5
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
red by 9.1
67.50.0
70.270.2
Auto22.0
Teleop38.1
End7.4
Second
5000
#24
55.80.3
52.152.3
Auto18.3
Teleop36.2
End1.2
red by 14.8
5459
#31
40.90.0
40.440.3
Auto9.0
Teleop31.2
End0.7
Third
1757
#15
42.50.3
40.540.8
Auto8.2
Teleop26.7
End7.5
red by 13.3
5735
#41
29.20.0
25.525.5
Auto6.5
Teleop20.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned