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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177162100120140200220240260146132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+2Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +2
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points62
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
18Processor points12
24Net points28
42Algae points40
100Total teleop102
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#8
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
146Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#6
80.31.5
75.874.3
Auto20.1
Teleop50.3
End9.9
red by 20.8
839
#38
59.51.5
54.452.9
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3
Second
3464
#42
44.01.5
45.343.9
Auto7.5
Teleop34.8
End1.6
blue by 15.0
467
#30
58.91.5
54.552.9
Auto15.0
Teleop33.4
End10.5
Third
175
#34
32.81.5
31.930.4
Auto7.2
Teleop22.2
End3.3
blue by 1.3
34.11.5
33.131.6
Auto8.0
Teleop18.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsMissed