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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179209100150250300184194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#9
30Coral points45
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +17
24Coral scored#24
86Coral points87
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
24Processor points18
28Net points16
52Algae points34
138Total teleop121
Reef
7L4#14
11L3#8
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
184Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#7
71.30.2
71.171.3
Auto20.8
Teleop45.3
End5.3
blue by 7.0
78.40.1
77.277.0
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
Second
5000
#24
55.80.2
55.655.8
Auto18.3
Teleop36.2
End1.2
blue by 19.2
74.90.1
73.873.6
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
Third
177
#36
47.80.2
47.547.8
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End9.0
red by 4.0
8085
#21
43.70.1
42.542.4
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End6.7