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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207229100150250300229225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave6
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points37
51Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +14
26Coral scored#30
92Coral points108
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#6
18Processor points24
32Net points24
50Algae points48
142Total teleop156
Reef
10L4#14
12L3#12
7L2#8
5L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#47
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
229Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#25
77.90.7
76.276.8
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
blue by 3.1
88
#8
81.00.3
80.380.6
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
Second
66.80.7
65.065.7
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
blue by 9.8
76.60.3
75.976.2
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
Third
839
#38
59.50.7
57.858.4
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3
red by 2.6
5142
#18
56.90.3
56.256.4
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4