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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210197100150250300257218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave0
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points30
57Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +12
33Coral scored#33
118Coral points120
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
24Processor points18
32Net points24
56Algae points42
174Total teleop162
Reef
15L4#16
12L3#13
11L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
55Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
257Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.41.0
77.078.0
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
red by 14.4
58
#14
63.90.2
63.763.9
Auto11.6
Teleop43.2
End9.1
Second
74.91.0
73.674.6
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
red by 12.1
1699
#11
62.90.2
62.762.9
Auto7.8
Teleop48.9
End6.2
Third
8085
#21
43.71.0
42.443.4
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End6.7
blue by 15.2
467
#30
58.90.2
58.758.9
Auto15.0
Teleop33.4
End10.5