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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2102050100300400239224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+13Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points42
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +3
26Coral scored#34
94Coral points123
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#4
24Processor points12
36Net points16
60Algae points28
154Total teleop151
Reef
14L4#14
12L3#9
6L2#12
4L1 · trough#7
49Game pieces#48
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +15
8Foul points6
239Total score224

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#25
77.90.4
75.475.8
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
blue by 2.4
195
#6
80.30.2
80.280.4
Auto20.1
Teleop50.3
End9.9
Second
66.80.4
64.364.7
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
blue by 0.7
67.50.2
67.467.7
Auto22.0
Teleop38.1
End7.4
Third
839
#38
59.50.4
57.057.4
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3
red by 16.8
2713
#23
42.70.2
42.742.9
Auto8.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3