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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243168100150200300350203167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+46Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
9Coral scored#8
45Coral points41
51Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +36
29Coral scored#17
104Coral points62
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
136Total teleop100
Reef
12L4#7
12L3#8
7L2#7
7L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
203Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#8
81.00.2
80.880.5
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
red by 12.0
138
#17
69.00.2
68.768.8
Auto17.1
Teleop41.9
End10.0
Second
76.60.2
76.476.1
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
red by 25.6
131
#26
51.00.2
50.750.9
Auto11.5
Teleop35.7
End3.8
Third
5142
#18
56.90.2
56.656.4
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4
red by 17.1
9443
#10
39.80.2
39.539.7
Auto5.1
Teleop25.8
End8.9