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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184185160170175180190195156168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +22
0Leave9
7Coral scored#10
36Coral points49
36Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +2
19Coral scored#21
70Coral points74
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
104Total teleop106
Reef
9L4#12
7L3#7
5L2#8
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
156Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.3
62.562.3
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End8.4
blue by 9.2
176
#7
71.30.2
71.571.3
Auto20.8
Teleop45.3
End5.3
Second
78
#13
61.20.3
61.761.4
Auto18.5
Teleop33.8
End9.0
red by 5.5
5000
#24
55.80.2
55.955.7
Auto18.3
Teleop36.2
End1.2
Third
228
#28
43.30.3
43.743.4
Auto8.8
Teleop28.0
End6.5
blue by 4.5
177
#36
47.80.2
47.947.7
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End9.0