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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2132080100300400216191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+7Teleop
+17Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
7Coral scored#10
35Coral points48
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +14
24Coral scored#16
88Coral points56
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#11
24Processor points18
20Net points44
44Algae points62
132Total teleop118
Reef
11L4#10
9L3#9
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +25
14Foul points6
216Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.40.2
77.077.2
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
blue by 1.9
195
#6
80.30.1
80.480.3
Auto20.1
Teleop50.3
End9.9
Second
74.90.2
73.673.8
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
red by 7.4
67.50.1
67.767.5
Auto22.0
Teleop38.1
End7.4
Third
8085
#21
43.70.2
42.342.5
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End6.7
red by 1.0
2713
#23
42.70.1
42.942.7
Auto8.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3