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Red206
346773.7
715355.6
19079.4
Blue227
83960.4
632467.7
740778.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222213150200250300206227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
Endgame+23
Fouls+21
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points51
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +3
23Coral scored#29
83Coral points106
6Processor algae#2
7Net algae#8
36Processor points12
28Net points32
64Algae points44
147Total teleop150
Reef
10L4#14
9L3#12
9L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points0
206Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
Unranked
79.40.2
79.879.6
Auto22.2
Teleop49.1
End8.1
red by 0.6
7407
Unranked
78.80.4
77.978.3
Auto23.2
Teleop44.3
End11.4
Second
3467
Unranked
73.70.2
74.173.8
Auto16.2
Teleop49.3
End8.2
red by 6.0
6324
Unranked
67.70.4
66.867.2
Auto16.8
Teleop45.7
End5.2
Third
7153
Unranked
55.60.2
56.055.8
Auto13.5
Teleop36.3
End5.8
blue by 4.8
839
Unranked
60.40.4
59.559.9
Auto10.6
Teleop40.3
End9.6