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Red203
346773.7
715355.6
19079.4
Blue229
83960.4
632467.7
740778.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221214140160180200240260280203229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+28
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
12Coral scored#10
62Coral points48
65Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +10
29Coral scored#29
106Coral points104
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
18Processor points18
8Net points20
26Algae points38
132Total teleop142
Reef
16L4#13
14L3#6
7L2#11
4L1 · trough#9
46Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +26
2Foul points0
203Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
Unranked
79.40.2
79.679.4
Auto22.2
Teleop49.1
End8.1
red by 0.6
7407
Unranked
78.80.5
78.378.8
Auto23.2
Teleop44.3
End11.4
Second
3467
Unranked
73.70.2
73.873.7
Auto16.2
Teleop49.3
End8.2
red by 6.0
6324
Unranked
67.70.5
67.267.7
Auto16.8
Teleop45.7
End5.2
Third
7153
Unranked
55.60.2
55.855.6
Auto13.5
Teleop36.3
End5.8
blue by 4.8
839
Unranked
60.40.5
59.960.4
Auto10.6
Teleop40.3
End9.6