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Red170
94846.2
12579.9
246861.0
Blue169
34354.5
93057.4
514260.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202175140160220240260170169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave9
7Coral scored#4
35Coral points20
44Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +16
17Coral scored#25
60Coral points90
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
98Total teleop114
Reef
6L4#7
9L3#11
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
2Foul points0
170Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#55
79.91.9
76.774.9
Auto22.8
Teleop47.1
End10.0
red by 19.0
5142
#17
60.90.4
56.956.5
Auto11.8
Teleop39.9
End9.2
Second
2468
#38
61.01.9
62.460.5
Auto8.0
Teleop44.7
End8.3
red by 3.6
930
#43
57.40.4
47.146.7
Auto14.5
Teleop36.9
End6.0
Third
948
#15
46.21.9
45.944.1
Auto11.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
blue by 8.3
343
#33
54.50.4
59.459.0
Auto11.1
Teleop36.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned