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Red197
908537.3
1323113.5
761765.6
Blue129
907270.0
1042842.5
643143.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224132100150200250300197129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+46Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points31
41Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +42
19Coral scored#19
70Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
12Net algae#3
12Processor points6
48Net points12
60Algae points18
130Total teleop88
Reef
15L4#11
5L3#5
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#29
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
197Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.50.4
116.9116.5
Auto27.2
Teleop73.8
End12.5
red by 43.6
70.00.7
56.956.2
Auto12.1
Teleop53.6
End4.3
Second
7617
#31
65.60.4
58.458.1
Auto18.7
Teleop38.5
End8.3
red by 21.9
6431
#70
43.70.7
42.041.3
Auto7.8
Teleop35.8
End0.1
Third
9085
#69
37.30.4
27.326.9
Auto7.7
Teleop24.7
End4.9
blue by 5.1
42.50.7
41.340.5
Auto11.0
Teleop28.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed