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Red137
409115.2
744442.1
12579.9
Blue225
1042842.5
742673.1
177892.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13722850100200250300137225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+78
Endgame+88
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave3
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points34
36Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +77
19Coral scored#33
69Coral points120
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#6
12Processor points30
16Net points24
28Algae points54
97Total teleop174
Reef
10L4#16
7L3#8
4L2#8
4L1 · trough#8
31Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
0Foul points0
137Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#55
79.90.0
80.680.6
Auto22.8
Teleop47.1
End10.0
blue by 13.0
1778
#12
92.91.6
93.495.0
Auto18.7
Teleop71.4
End2.8
Second
7444
#75
42.10.0
41.741.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End0.3
blue by 31.0
73.11.6
71.072.6
Auto14.5
Teleop50.0
End8.6
Third
4091
#73
15.20.0
14.614.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.9
End0.2
blue by 27.2
42.51.6
37.138.7
Auto11.0
Teleop28.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned100%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed