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Red118
756358.0
978722.9
173040.4
Blue178
44975.4
36053.5
182545.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131195050100150250300118178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+44
Endgame+54
Fouls+60
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +51
12Coral scored#24
42Coral points85
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
18Processor points18
12Net points20
30Algae points38
72Total teleop123
Reef
8L4#9
3L3#7
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points6
118Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7563
#45
58.01.0
57.456.4
Auto12.5
Teleop36.6
End8.8
blue by 17.4
449
#10
75.40.6
72.772.1
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End9.4
Second
1730
#67
40.41.0
41.140.2
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End5.1
blue by 13.1
360
#74
53.50.6
55.254.7
Auto9.4
Teleop40.8
End3.3
Third
9787
#72
22.91.0
28.227.3
Auto2.8
Teleop16.7
End3.4
blue by 22.6
1825
#60
45.50.6
46.946.3
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned