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Red217
859050.7
614773.2
10860.6
Blue226
365557.2
393774.7
283272.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19122950100150250300350217226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points44
50Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +13
27Coral scored#27
97Coral points96
4Processor algae#5
5Net algae#7
24Processor points30
20Net points28
44Algae points58
141Total teleop154
Reef
15L4#14
11L3#8
4L2#9
6L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points2
217Total score226

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6147
#16
73.21.8
72.974.7
Auto18.3
Teleop46.2
End8.7
blue by 1.5
74.70.8
70.771.5
Auto15.8
Teleop49.6
End9.3
Second
108
#30
60.61.8
60.562.3
Auto18.2
Teleop38.0
End4.4
blue by 11.8
72.40.8
71.272.0
Auto19.7
Teleop45.1
End7.7
Third
8590
#28
50.71.8
45.146.9
Auto9.1
Teleop37.7
End3.9
blue by 6.5
3655
#46
57.20.8
58.759.5
Auto12.3
Teleop34.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned