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Red185
297475.0
584351.3
645960.7
Blue225
177892.9
10860.6
62467.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205250100150300350400185225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+50
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
11Coral scored#7
55Coral points37
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +71
24Coral scored#39
87Coral points140
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
12Processor points18
12Net points24
24Algae points42
111Total teleop182
Reef
15L4#11
5L3#16
7L2#12
8L1 · trough#7
40Game pieces#55
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
185Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#49
75.01.6
76.675.0
Auto19.9
Teleop50.2
End5.0
blue by 17.8
1778
#12
92.91.7
95.093.3
Auto18.7
Teleop71.4
End2.8
Second
6459
#22
60.71.6
61.760.1
Auto14.2
Teleop44.4
End2.1
blue by 6.7
624
#36
67.41.7
67.265.5
Auto8.4
Teleop51.7
End7.3
Third
5843
#41
51.31.6
52.951.3
Auto12.2
Teleop33.1
End6.0
blue by 9.4
108
#30
60.61.7
62.360.6
Auto18.2
Teleop38.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed