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Red217
859050.7
246861.0
1042842.5
Blue164
614773.2
36053.5
673834.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159187100150200250217164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+31Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave6
7Coral scored#8
36Coral points38
36Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +39
33Coral scored#24
119Coral points88
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
155Total teleop116
Reef
16L4#12
12L3#10
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#38
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
217Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#38
61.03.8
57.761.5
Auto8.0
Teleop44.7
End8.3
blue by 12.2
6147
#16
73.21.2
74.773.5
Auto18.3
Teleop46.2
End8.7
Second
8590
#28
50.73.8
46.950.7
Auto9.1
Teleop37.7
End3.9
blue by 2.8
360
#74
53.51.2
54.753.5
Auto9.4
Teleop40.8
End3.3
Third
42.53.8
38.742.5
Auto11.0
Teleop28.0
End3.5
red by 8.1
6738
#59
34.41.2
35.534.4
Auto12.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed